Oracle Crystal Ball v11 

+ Upgrade Option
+ Technical Support




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Oracle® Crystal Ball
LATEST Version



 

“Doing a business-case analysis without Crystal Ball is like driving with your lights off at night.”
         ~ Chad Lander, Senior Financial Analyst, Sprint 
 

 Positive feedback rating  " Great software. Good seller. Thank you. " ~ Crystal Ball Buyer


 1. Item Description
  • This software tRANSFORMS your Microsoft Excel spreadsheets into dynamic models that solve almost any problem involving uncertainty, variability and risk. 
  • FULL software + License valid for 6 Months Only
  • FREE 60 Days Technical Support - Tel. number provided after purchase.
  • Not for Commercial Use.
Pre-requisite for using Crystal Ball: Supported version of Microsoft Excel already installed.

Tutorials and Training Materials tailor-made to your needs and requirements also available.






 2. What is Oracle Crystal Ball?

Crystal Ball is for anyone who uses spreadsheets and needs to forecast uncertain results. Environmental geologists, cost engineers, environmental scientists, hydro-geologists and project managers all rely on Crystal Ball.

Transform your Microsoft Excel spreadsheets to get a credible picture of risk, create accurate predictive models, search for the best solution and maximize appreciation of the risks that you are facing. From Monte Carlo simulation to forecasting and optimization, Crystal Ball software tools deliver. Crystal Ball is the industry-standard for oil, gas and mining company executives to analyse the uncertainties in their spreadsheet models.

Crystal Ball is the easiest way to perform fast risk analysis and optimization in your own spreadsheets. With one integrated tool-set, you can use your own historical data to build accurate models, automate "what if" analysis to understand the effect of underlying uncertainty and search for the best solution or project mix.

Oracle Crystal Ball is the leading spreadsheet-based software suite for predictive modeling, forecasting, simulation, and optimization. Used by 85% of the Fortune 500 and taught in the top 50 American MBA programs, Oracle Crystal Ball gives you unparalleled insight into the  critical factors affecting risk, and calculates the likelihood you will reach your objectives. With Oracle Crystal Ball, you can make the right tactical decisions to move you toward your strategic goals and gain a competitive edge under even the most uncertain market conditions.

This latest version of Oracle’s Crystal Ball will get you started with spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo simulation, analysis tools and reports. A realistic and accessible way of modeling uncertainty, Crystal Ball measures and reports on the risk inherent in your key metrics.This edition includes Monte Carlo simulation, time-series forecasting, analysis tools and reports, capability metrics for Six Sigma applications, and a full suite of additional tools to help you set up and analyze your models.

Oracle Crystal Ball is an easy-to-use yet powerful Monte Carlo simulation add-in to Microsoft Excel that allows analysis of the risks and uncertainties associated with Microsoft Excel spreadsheet models. Monte Carlo simulation is a well-established method for defining the uncertain components in a mathematical model. It involves generating numerous scenarios from a user-defined range of values, or a probability distribution for each uncertain parameter in a spreadsheet.

It calculates the result for each scenario, generating a range of results, which is evaluated to assess risk. Crystal Ball is widely used in education, financial planning, and in the environmental, oil and gas, and telecommunications industries, among other fields. There are many statistical distributions to choose from, or the user can enter a custom distribution.

Crystal Ball’s functionality includes sensitivity analysis, correlation, and historical data fitting. The sensitivity analysis indicates which of the uncertain variables are most critical, and thus dominate the uncertainty associated with the model. The correlation feature allows the user to link uncertain variables to account for their positive or negative dependencies. If historical data are available, the data-fitting feature can be used to compare the data to the range of results and calculate the parameter values that yield the best fit to the data. 

  • Typical Industry Use for Oracle Crystal Ball:
    • Financial Planning
    • Project Cost Estimation
    • Continuous Improvement
    • Hospital Administration, e.g.
      • Forecasting Growth in Bed Demands
    • Sales Forecasting
    • Capital Budgeting
    • Oil & Gas


Applications:

  • Capacity Planning

  • Cost Estimation

  • Strategic Financial Analysis

  • Inventory Optimization

  • Operations Research

  • Project Selection

  • Resources Allocation

  • Sales Forecasting and Modeling

  • Six Sigma / Design for Six Sigma / Lean Manufacturing

  • Supply Chain  Management

Crystal Ball will get you started with spreadsheet-based Monte Carlo simulation, analysis tools and reports. A realistic and accessible way of modeling uncertainty, Crystal Ball measures and reports on the risk inherent in your key metrics.

Crystal Ball’s clear graphics and reports facilitate inclusion of as little or as much detail as needed to present the results effectively. The user’s manual is well written and includes straightforward directions to get users started, as well as in-depth discussions of the underlying theory. Crystal Ball is easy to use; experienced Excel users should have a simulation running in 30 minutes or less.

With Crystal Ball, you can make the right tactical decisions to reach your objectives and gain a competitive edge under even the most uncertain market conditions.



 3. Who Uses Crystal Ball?

Crystal Ball is for decision-makers, from the analyst exploring the potential for new markets to the scientist evaluating experiments and hypotheses. Crystal Ball has been developed with a wide range of spreadsheet uses and users in mind.

You do not need highly advanced statistical or computer knowledge to use Crystal Ball to its full potential. All you need is a basic working knowledge of the personal computer and the ability to create a spreadsheet model in Microsoft Excel - you can use our samples and templates, or we can assist you in designing your own.


 4. Why Buy from Primavera P6 Consulting?
  1. FREE 60 Days after-sales / technical support to get you up and running with your software as quickly as possible.
  2. Extended Technical Support available directly from us. 
  3. Oracle trained and accredited technicians to assist you with any issues.
  4. We specialize in assisting small companies and self-employed contractors.
  5. We have satisfied customers from all over the world: Australia, Canada, Germany, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Kingdom, USA and UAE.
  6. You are buying from a seller who knows the product, and will offer you support, guidance, tutorials, and even assist you with creating your spreadsheet model in Microsoft Excel.
  7. Established Seller since February 2003 we are the most experienced seller of this software on eBay. See our GENUINE Customer Reviews. We do NOT sell under private listings; we have nothing to hide.

 5. What Our Customers Say About Us
     Not all our customers leave feedbacks for their transaction. We are grateful to our customers who take the time to share their warm compliments with us. 
     
    Positive feedback rating  Great software. Good seller. Thank you. 
    Oracle Crystal Ball software version 11.1.2 (#120795009336) 

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     6. Payment, Shipping & Delivery
     
    1. We accept payment via Paypal, or our Company Bank Account.
    2. When a transaction is cancelled, Paypal does NOT refund the fees that they charge sellers to process the payment received. Hence, when a transaction is cancelled, for no fault of ours (e.g. the buyer did not read the listing properly), the Paypal fee charged + $10 admin fee will be deducted from the refund. 
    3. Within 1 working day of payment, we will contact you with a Request for Further Information and Licenses, to ensure full compatibility of your computer system with the software.
    4. Once we receive your response, we will confirm and dispatch your order within 1 Business Day if payment is credited into our Business Bank Account. If payment is made via Paypal, we may request further information from the buyer to validate their identity.
    5. Shipping of orders is dependent on the timely response to our RFI.
    6. We offer a range of delivery options/services and therefore you should ensure that you select the service most suitable for your needs when placing your order. Request to change orders must be made within 24 hours of the original order
    7. We use a range of third-party delivery service providers. Delivery of your order is the responsibility of these delivery services. Once your order has been dispatched, our liability is limited to the replacement of the product, after the time period specified by the postal services has lapsed.
    8. We always dispatch within the time-frame stated in our listing. Note there is a difference between "Dispatch Time" and "Delivery Time". We are 100% responsible for the "Dispatch Time", however, we have no control whatsoever, on the "Delivery Time". All deliveries are subject to postal services' terms and conditions. 
    9. We dispatch to PO Box, GPO, or rental offices (even if the address is listed as confirmed by Paypal), only when payment is credited directly to our Business Bank Account. International customers are advised to contact us for alternative methods of payment and to avoid high-cost transfer (wire) charges.
    10. If time is of essence for the delivery of your product, we have a range of additional options, including electronic delivery anywhere in the world within 5 working hours. Contact us for terms and conditions. 


     7. After-Sales, Customer / Technical Support and Feedback
        1. All our software products come with FREE 30 Days Technical Support to ensure that you start using your software as quickly as possible.
        2. Like everyone, we like compliments too! Please take the time to leave us your positive feedback and we will do the same.
        3. In the unlikely event that you have a problem with your purchase, please contact us as soon as possible, and give us a chance to put things right, before leaving any feedback. We will respond to you within 1 business day.

         8. Terms and Conditions
        1. These Terms and Conditions shall apply to all contracts for the sale of Goods and Services between the seller and the buyer.
        2. Once we receive your payment, we will send you an acknowledgement of your payment with a Request for further information to ensure compatibility of this product with your computer system. Your order will be dispatched after we receive your response to our request for further information. 
        3. Title to the goods shall remain vested in Primavera P6 Consulting and shall not pass to the buyer until the purchase price for the goods has been paid in full and received by the seller.
        4. All issues/problems must be reported to us via the ebay messaging system, before raising a dispute. We will respond to your message within 1 business day.
        5. Our software products come with a minimum of 30 Days FREE Technical Support, and no returns/refunds will be entertained unless the Buyer has used our Remote Technical Support Services and allowed our Technical support team to troubleshoot the issue.
        6. All returns must be authorized by us and accompanied by a Return Merchandise Authorisation (RMA).
        7. The extent of the seller's liability to the Buyer for any default or breach howsoever arising, shall in no case exceed the invoice value of the goods (or services) and the seller shall in no circumstances whatsoever be liable to the buyer or to any third party in respect of any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage.

         9. Contact Us